Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.189054 0.211055 0.233881 0.259275 0.286682 0.315313 0.347430
2025-01-12 0.159247 0.189177 0.221627 0.259237 0.301437 0.347139 0.400187
2025-01-19 0.136320 0.171175 0.210454 0.257603 0.312255 0.373209 0.445919
2025-01-26 0.120358 0.158933 0.203935 0.259636 0.326025 0.401922 0.494522
2025-02-02 0.110373 0.152448 0.203058 0.267383 0.345885 0.437504 0.551381
2025-02-09 0.099043 0.143026 0.197538 0.268610 0.357309 0.462839 0.596271
2025-02-16 0.090491 0.136209 0.194454 0.272166 0.371105 0.490828 0.644476
2025-02-23 0.085535 0.133558 0.196235 0.281539 0.392001 0.527586 0.703761
2025-03-02 0.076759 0.124895 0.189427 0.279193 0.397582 0.545128 0.739382
2025-03-09 0.069945 0.118340 0.184872 0.279302 0.405942 0.565956 0.779115
2025-03-16 0.063398 0.111577 0.179499 0.277830 0.411866 0.583480 0.814676
2025-03-23 0.059695 0.108695 0.179275 0.283174 0.426735 0.612565 0.865228
2025-03-30 0.054677 0.103593 0.175824 0.284201 0.436259 0.635513 0.909216
2025-04-06 0.049986 0.098586 0.172159 0.284645 0.444844 0.657267 0.951939
2025-04-13 0.045268 0.093100 0.167392 0.283171 0.450554 0.675136 0.989720
2025-04-20 0.041928 0.089600 0.165381 0.285514 0.461511 0.700102 1.037149
2025-04-27 0.040255 0.088806 0.167473 0.293924 0.481169 0.737115 1.101121
2025-05-04 0.037204 0.085295 0.165021 0.295296 0.490639 0.760239 1.146669
2025-05-11 0.034917 0.082952 0.164272 0.299145 0.503668 0.788373 1.199282
2025-05-18 0.033997 0.083071 0.167526 0.309221 0.525961 0.829658 1.270294
2025-05-25 0.030849 0.078634 0.162905 0.306714 0.529486 0.844624 1.305353
2025-06-01 0.028426 0.075376 0.160063 0.306837 0.536814 0.864937 1.347918
2025-06-08 0.025936 0.071725 0.156300 0.305261 0.541426 0.881341 1.385149